Often in most horse races, there will be several horses who have the capacity to win the race. There are many strategies that abound where punters try to find an edge. These systems can be intricate in their construction or systems that are beautifully simplistic. We then have strategies and systems that are designed for backing and laying and laying horses (backing that they lose) is getting more and more popular these days.
There are numerous factors than govern how most sporting events are played out and one of the most important is the weather and the going. In football, heavy weather can have a big impact on the result. Some may argue that it is the same for both sides. While both sides do have to play in the same weather, this does not allow for the fact that bad weather can hinder one teams performance more than the other.
If Arsenal played in a 3rd Round FA Cup tie away to some non-league team on a small muddy pitch then Arsenals slick passing style is going to be severely blunted under those type of conditions. This principle is exactly the same with Horse Racing.
Looking at the form of any horse is often very misleading. Seeing a horse with a record of 6-9-0-5-3-4-2-1-1-1 seems to indicate that this horse is coming into form with three wins and a second in its last four races. But what if those races had been on very heavy going and today’s race conditions are far different and require more speed and less stamina?
Suddenly this horse could easily be opposed, the last three results have more than likely led to a contraction in price and when this is combined by the difference in the going then a serious case can be made for swerving this horse for a possible bet. Overnight weather can often play havoc with a horse’s chances of winning! This can often be the case when there has been heavy rain.
It is for this reason why it often pays to assess how a certain horse has managed to attain its results. Looking through the Racing Post can reveal some very interesting statistics but keeping your finger on the pulse can be the best bet of all. Checking what the weather has been doing overnight and during the morning of the race can not only be very important but it can also be very rewarding.
The going can be a good indicator in not just in opposing horses but in backing them too. Any horse that has historically run well on a certain type of going is likely to do well again if it encountered those very same conditions.
The Racing Post is a wonderfully condensed avenue of highly valuable information that can give any punter a good chance of making a profit from any horse race. Sometimes the better horses will win over different types of going, when this happens then it is often the case that the subsequent win over different conditions was achieved without a high degree of confidence.
Horses often win races without running well in the same way that football teams can win matches without playing well. Often it pays to look behind the obvious if you are trying to find winners. A recent win will be reflected in a horse’s price but yet this could be totally contrary to how it really run on that particular day. So it definitely pays to keep in mind that the going and the conditions play a huge role in which horse wins the race.